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Costco STOCK

COST · US Equity
$951.6700
-0.09% (24h)
SELL Moderate 1/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging
Score: 60/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit HOLD fit 66
SL $974.7100 · TP1 $939.5400
Mean Reversion HOLD fit 66
SL $974.7100 · TP1 $939.5400
Position SELL fit 61
SL $962.9600 · TP1 $941.3700
Scalping HOLD fit 59
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $974.7100 · TP1 $939.5400
Momentum HOLD fit 57
SL $974.7100 · TP1 $939.5400
Swing SELL fit 54
SL $962.9600 · TP1 $941.3700
Trend Following HOLD fit 36
SL $974.7100 · TP1 $939.5400

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG BUY (81) RSI 67.53 ADX 30.19
1H NEUTRAL (70) RSI 61.34 ADX 25.37
4H NEUTRAL (55) RSI 48.82 ADX 13.47
1D SELL (58) RSI 44.77 ADX 16.18
1W NEUTRAL (65) RSI 45.32 ADX 13.58

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 60. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
58/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+17
→ 17
4H Timeframe (38%)
55/100 raw · NEUTRAL
+21
→ 38
1H Timeframe (32%)
70/100 raw · NEUTRAL
+22
→ 60
15m Micro-Structure
81/100 raw · BULL (diverging)
-2
→ 58
1W Macro Trend
65/100 raw · NEUTRAL (macro divergence)
-1
→ 57
Volume Profile (POC)
Price within 0.5% of high-volume node ($950.46)
+3
→ 60
Final Score
60

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
15 /1H
5 /4H
8 /1D
9 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
14 /1H
9 /4H
7 /1D
10 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
7 /1H
11 /4H
14 /1D
11 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
18 /1D
19 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
9 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$951.6700
Stop Loss
$962.9600
TP 1
$941.3700
TP 2
$923.4400
TP 3
$906.5100
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: NEUTRAL (70/100) | 4H: NEUTRAL (55/100) | 1D: SELL (58/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 33b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 39% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 28b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 42% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 28b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 45% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Descending Channel (observed 70% (n=338), aged 8b ×0.40) [55% win rate] 50% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 24b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 24b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), volume declining, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 28b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, aged 14b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 60% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), with trend, volume declining, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 8b ×0.40) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, high volume, aged 18b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 64% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, high volume, aged 3b ×0.71) [79% win rate] 59% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, high volume, aged 3b ×0.71) [72% win rate] 56% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 23b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
Volume POC at $950.46
Fib 0.618 at $952.00

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Mixed timeframes - weak confluence, consider waiting
Bullish divergence (MACD) – potential bottom forming
1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, aged 29b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 8% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (with trend, aged 20b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 34% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, aged 20b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 37% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 28b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (breakout vol spike, aged 11b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 17% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 18b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 17% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: V-Bottom (Spike) (near completion) [58% win rate] 90% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 130b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (high volume, aged 105b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 35% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), breakout vol spike, high volume, aged 22b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 2% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
61.34
ADX
25.37
Trend
UP
Structure
BEARISH
VWAP
$934.7200
MACD Hist
3.14
Stoch K/D
96.98/94.75
ATR
$6.2500
BB Range
$917.4300 - $956.4700
Support
$920.5500
Resistance
$950.5000
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
0.72x
Vol POC
$950.4600
Fib 0.618
$951.9962

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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