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Costco STOCK

COST · US Equity
$939.9600
-2.09% (24h)
STRONG SELL High conviction 3/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 3x Leverage
Score: 76/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Swing Best Fit SELL fit 64
SL $946.8800 · TP1 $936.5000
Position SELL fit 62
SL $946.8800 · TP1 $936.5000
Breakout SELL fit 58
SL $946.8800 · TP1 $936.5000
Mean Reversion SELL fit 57
SL $946.8800 · TP1 $936.5000
Scalping SELL fit 53
SL $945.1700 · TP1 $936.7500
Trend Following SELL fit 46
SL $946.8800 · TP1 $936.5000
Momentum HOLD fit 46
SL $979.3600 · TP1 $898.5900

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (72) RSI 42.68 ADX 26.27
1H SELL (61) RSI 42.58 ADX 11.54
4H SELL (60) RSI 43.5 ADX 10.4
1D SELL (66) RSI 46.16 ADX 12.41
1W SELL (57) RSI 45.5 ADX 10.75

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 76. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
66/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+20
→ 20
4H Timeframe (38%)
60/100 raw · BEAR
+23
→ 43
1H Timeframe (32%)
61/100 raw · BEAR
+20
→ 63
15m Micro-Structure
72/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+2
→ 65
1W Macro Trend
57/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 66
Divergence Modifier
1H bull div, 1H bear div
+1
→ 67
Volume Profile (POC)
Price within 0.5% of high-volume node ($941.77)
+3
→ 70
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 100% direction agreement, scores within 5 pts
+6
→ 76
Final Score
76

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
11 /1H
11 /4H
11 /1D
11 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
12 /1H
12 /4H
12 /1D
12 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
7 /1H
7 /4H
7 /1D
7 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
3 /1H
3 /4H
8 /1D
5 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
8 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$939.9600
Stop Loss
$946.8800
TP 1
$936.5000
TP 2
$922.6600
TP 3
$912.2800
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: SELL (61/100) | 4H: SELL (60/100) | 1D: SELL (66/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
Bearish divergence (Stoch) – potential top forming
1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 102b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 54% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 49% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 13b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 54% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 13b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 56% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 13b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 54% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 8b ×0.40) [83% win rate] 69% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 8b ×0.40) [79% win rate] 49% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 8b ×0.40) [72% win rate] 72% complete
Volume POC at $941.77
Fib 0.618 at $946.01

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Bullish divergence (OBV) – potential bottom forming
1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (against trend, volume declining, breakout vol spike, near completion, aged 31b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (aged 134b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 24% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 22b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 19% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 22b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 17% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 7b ×0.45) [79% win rate] 14% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 7b ×0.45) [72% win rate] 19% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Broadening Bottom (aged 7b ×0.45) [53% win rate] 17% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (aged 27b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 37% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 7b ×0.45) [79% win rate] 18% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 7b ×0.45) [72% win rate] 16% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
42.58
ADX
11.54
Trend
DOWN
Structure
BREAK_UP
VWAP
$944.7100
MACD Hist
-0.2796
Stoch K/D
24.13/16.33
ATR
$4.3400
BB Range
$937.6500 - $950.5000
Support
$936.1000
Resistance
$952.0900
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
0.84x
Vol POC
$941.7700
Fib 0.618
$946.0078

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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