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Microsoft STOCK

MSFT · US Equity
$390.4900
+4.70% (24h)
STRONG SELL Moderate 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Momentum mixed Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 70/100 Strategy: Momentum

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Momentum Best Fit HOLD fit 74
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $397.3300 · TP1 $383.4700
Breakout HOLD fit 70
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $397.3300 · TP1 $383.4700
Mean Reversion HOLD fit 70
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $397.3300 · TP1 $383.4700
Scalping HOLD fit 65
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $397.3300 · TP1 $385.7000
Position SELL fit 63
SL $394.6200 · TP1 $384.7100
Swing SELL fit 61
SL $394.6200 · TP1 $386.1500
Trend Following SELL fit 57
SL $394.6200 · TP1 $386.1500

Timeframe Analysis

15m NEUTRAL (68) RSI 56.05 ADX 21.89
1H STRONG BUY (76) RSI 66.04 ADX 40.73
4H SELL (63) RSI 57.3 ADX 23.8
1D SELL (59) RSI 49.8 ADX 22.03
1W SELL (64) RSI 43.35 ADX 25.17

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 70. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (40%)
59/100 raw · BEAR · Mixed regime – 1D=40% / 4H=35% / 1H=25%
+24
→ 24
4H Timeframe (35%)
63/100 raw · BEAR
+22
→ 46
1H Timeframe (25%)
76/100 raw · BULL
+19
→ 65
MTF Divergence Penalty
1H (BULL) vs 4H (BEAR) disagree
-10
→ 55
15m Micro-Structure
68/100 raw · NEUTRAL (diverging)
-1
→ 54
1W Macro Trend
64/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 55
Divergence Modifier
1H bear div
+6
→ 61
Potential Top (Bear)
Overbought reversal zone supports shorts
+6
→ 67
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 75% agreement
+3
→ 70
Final Score
70

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
20 /1H
10 /4H
7 /1D
11 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
15 /1H
15 /4H
9 /1D
13 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
6 /1H
7 /4H
12 /1D
9 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
8 /4H
8 /1D
9 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$390.4900
Stop Loss
$394.6200
TP 1
$386.1500
TP 2
$380.1700
TP 3
$373.9700
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Momentum (best fit for mixed regime)
1H: STRONG BUY (76/100) | 4H: SELL (63/100) | 1D: SELL (59/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
Bearish divergence (RSI/MACD/OBV) – potential top forming
Potential top: divergence + overbought/resistance
1H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 78b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 133b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, aged 78b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 19% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 58b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 58b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 58b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 157b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 30b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 30b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (observed 39% (n=505), volume declining, high volume) [67% win rate] 70% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 43b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
Volume POC at $415.96
Fib 0.618 at $393.94

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
4H: 2 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1D: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 25b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 25b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 25b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Rounding Bottom (observed 23% (n=810), with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 13b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (near completion, aged 8b ×0.40) [69% win rate] 80% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: V-Bottom (Spike) (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 6b ×0.50) [58% win rate] 90% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), high volume, aged 301b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 70% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (high volume, aged 294b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 56% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), breakout vol spike, high volume, aged 43b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 1% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: V-Bottom (Spike) (near completion, high volume) [58% win rate] 90% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
66.04
ADX
40.73
Trend
STRONG UP
Structure
BULLISH
VWAP
$383.5800
MACD Hist
0.1781
Stoch K/D
84.26/88.25
ATR
$3.4200
BB Range
$368.7100 - $399.1300
Support
$382.9600
Resistance
$392.1900
Volume
DECLINING
Rel Volume
0.57x
Vol POC
$415.9600
Fib 0.618
$393.9399

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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