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Semiconductor ETF STOCK

SMH · US Equity
$592.2900
-3.16% (24h)
SELL Moderate 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 65/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit STRONG_SELL fit 76
SL $601.1300 · TP1 $583.8800
Mean Reversion SELL fit 74
SL $601.1300 · TP1 $583.8800
Position BUY fit 67
SL $578.0300 · TP1 $612.2500
Momentum SELL fit 66
SL $601.1300 · TP1 $583.8800
Swing SELL fit 61
SL $601.1300 · TP1 $583.8800
Scalping SELL fit 57
SL $601.1300 · TP1 $586.1000
Trend Following HOLD fit 41
SL $663.0400 · TP1 $518.0000

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (73) RSI 41.94 ADX 43.15
1H STRONG SELL (79) RSI 32.19 ADX 35.84
4H SELL (63) RSI 41.14 ADX 15.68
1D BUY (57) RSI 47.02 ADX 14.87
1W STRONG BUY (74) RSI 65.84 ADX 40.75

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 65. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
57/100 raw · BULL · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+17
→ 17
4H Timeframe (38%)
63/100 raw · BEAR
+24
→ 41
1H Timeframe (32%)
79/100 raw · BEAR
+25
→ 66
15m Micro-Structure
73/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+2
→ 68
1W Macro Trend
74/100 raw · BULL (macro divergence)
-2
→ 66
Divergence Modifier
4H bull div
-2
→ 64
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 60% agreement
+1
→ 65
Final Score
65

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
18 /1H
11 /4H
5 /1D
11 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
15 /1H
15 /4H
12 /1D
14 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
12 /1H
9 /4H
13 /1D
11 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
1 /1D
3 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
9 /1H
5 /4H
6 /1D
7 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$592.2900
Stop Loss
$601.1300
TP 1
$583.8800
TP 2
$570.1900
TP 3
$556.9300
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: STRONG SELL (79/100) | 4H: SELL (63/100) | 1D: BUY (57/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1D: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 77b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 8b ×0.40) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 15b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, high volume, aged 6b ×0.50) [62% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 12b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 5b ×0.56) [79% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 5b ×0.56) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 8b ×0.40) [72% win rate] 51% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Diamond Top (breakout vol spike, near completion, aged 8b ×0.40) [69% win rate] 80% complete
Volume POC at $632.40
Fib 0.618 at $599.42

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), high volume, aged 107b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 63% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (high volume, aged 107b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 24% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), high volume, aged 107b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 42% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 33b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 37% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 76b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 65b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 16b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 40% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
32.19
ADX
35.84
Trend
STRONG DOWN
Structure
BEARISH
VWAP
$613.4900
MACD Hist
-3.81
Stoch K/D
18.85/13.16
ATR
$8.5400
BB Range
$570.1400 - $670.3800
Support
$582.6000
Resistance
$628.4400
Volume
INCREASING
Rel Volume
1.57x
Vol POC
$632.4000
Fib 0.618
$599.4189

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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