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Technology Sector ETF STOCK

XLK · US Equity
$180.5900
-0.29% (24h)
SELL Moderate 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging
Score: 63/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Breakout Best Fit SELL fit 69
SL $183.0900 · TP1 $178.9700
Mean Reversion SELL fit 68
SL $183.0900 · TP1 $178.9700
Position BUY fit 62
SL $178.0800 · TP1 $184.1000
Momentum SELL fit 60
SL $183.0900 · TP1 $178.9700
Scalping SELL fit 60
SL $182.5700 · TP1 $179.2000
Swing HOLD fit 57
SL $191.8900 · TP1 $168.7300
Trend Following HOLD fit 37
SL $191.8900 · TP1 $168.7300

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (79) RSI 42.3 ADX 43.83
1H STRONG SELL (74) RSI 34.12 ADX 32.75
4H SELL (60) RSI 42.07 ADX 17.23
1D BUY (52) RSI 47.16 ADX 16.58
1W BUY (68) RSI 64.02 ADX 33.53

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 63. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
52/100 raw · BULL · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+16
→ 16
4H Timeframe (38%)
60/100 raw · BEAR
+23
→ 39
1H Timeframe (32%)
74/100 raw · BEAR
+24
→ 63
15m Micro-Structure
79/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+2
→ 65
1W Macro Trend
68/100 raw · BULL (macro divergence)
-1
→ 64
Divergence Modifier
4H bull div
-2
→ 62
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 60% agreement
+1
→ 63
Final Score
63

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
18 /1H
11 /4H
5 /1D
11 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
12 /1H
12 /4H
12 /1D
12 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
9 /1H
7 /4H
7 /1D
8 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
1 /1D
3 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
10 /1H
7 /4H
7 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$180.5900
Stop Loss
$183.0900
TP 1
$178.9700
TP 2
$174.3400
TP 3
$170.5900
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: STRONG SELL (74/100) | 4H: SELL (60/100) | 1D: BUY (52/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 57b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 7b ×0.45) [79% win rate] 60% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, breakout vol spike, aged 7b ×0.45) [72% win rate] 60% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (observed 77% (n=1323), with trend, breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 5b ×0.56) [62% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 12b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 78% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 5b ×0.56) [79% win rate] 67% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 5b ×0.56) [72% win rate] 69% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 8b ×0.40) [72% win rate] 54% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Diamond Top (near completion, aged 3b ×0.71) [69% win rate] 80% complete
Volume POC at $184.29
Fib 0.618 at $182.75

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 211b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 28b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 9% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 28b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 10% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 33b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 26% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 33b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 26% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 94b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 3b ×0.71) [79% win rate] 21% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 3b ×0.71) [72% win rate] 21% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
34.12
ADX
32.75
Trend
STRONG DOWN
Structure
BEARISH
VWAP
$184.8200
MACD Hist
-0.7325
Stoch K/D
20.96/15.46
ATR
$1.6500
BB Range
$177.4300 - $193.0100
Support
$178.7200
Resistance
$187.3800
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
1.09x
Vol POC
$184.2900
Fib 0.618
$182.7548

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

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