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Consumer Discretionary ETF STOCK

XLY · US Equity
$117.1200
+2.40% (24h)
HOLD Caution 2/3 TF 2.5x R:R Mean Reversion ranging
Score: 45/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Swing Best Fit HOLD fit 61
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $121.9100
Position HOLD fit 58
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $123.5000
Breakout HOLD fit 56
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $121.9100
Mean Reversion HOLD fit 55
Blocked: LONG: Potential top detected (2+ divergences + overbought…
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $121.9100
Scalping HOLD fit 48
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $120.3100
Trend Following HOLD fit 43
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $121.9100
Momentum HOLD fit 41
SL $112.5600 · TP1 $121.9100

Timeframe Analysis

15m SELL (63) RSI 46.48 ADX 16.27
1H BUY (58) RSI 49.67 ADX 16.47
4H BUY (58) RSI 52.46 ADX 14.1
1D SELL (65.3) RSI 51.59 ADX 12.07
1W BUY (55) RSI 51.04 ADX 12.67

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 45. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
65.3/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+20
→ 20
4H Timeframe (38%)
58/100 raw · BULL
+22
→ 42
1H Timeframe (32%)
58/100 raw · BULL
+19
→ 61
15m Micro-Structure
63/100 raw · BEAR (diverging)
-1
→ 60
1W Macro Trend
55/100 raw · BULL (confirms trend)
+1
→ 61
Divergence Modifier
1H bear div, 4H bear div
-8
→ 53
Potential Top (Bull)
Overbought + resistance + divergence — avoiding longs
-12
→ 41
Volume Profile (POC)
Price within 0.5% of high-volume node ($117.21)
+3
→ 44
TF Consensus
Moderate alignment: 60% agreement
+1
→ 45
Final Score
45

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
8 /1H
11 /4H
5 /1D
8 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
10 /1H
10 /4H
14.3 /1D
11 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
9 /1H
7 /4H
15 /1D
10 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
3 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
3 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
8 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$117.1200
Stop Loss
$112.5600
TP 1
$121.9100
TP 2
$128.5200
TP 3
$135.3600
Risk / Reward
2.5x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: BUY (58/100) | 4H: BUY (58/100) | 1D: SELL (65.3/100)
Market structure favorable
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
Volume POC at $117.21
Fib 0.618 at $116.59

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Bearish divergence (RSI/MACD/OBV/Stoch) – potential top forming
Potential top: divergence + overbought/resistance
1H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
4H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: 1 bullish order block(s) in scope
1D: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Bearish candle patterns: Bearish Engulfing (at resistance), Tweezer Top (at resistance)
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 29b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Cup and Handle (observed 57% (n=33), near completion) [68% win rate] 95% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (breakout vol spike, aged 7b ×0.45) [79% win rate] 28% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (breakout vol spike, aged 3b ×0.71) [79% win rate] 17% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, aged 18b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 26% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), breakout vol spike, aged 3b ×0.71) [72% win rate] 12% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Ascending Channel (observed 70% (n=338), breakout vol spike, aged 3b ×0.71) [55% win rate] 50% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 14b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 3% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), with trend, aged 21b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 39% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 14b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 9% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (with trend, aged 11b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 49% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 14b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 3% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), with trend, aged 11b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 49% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (aged 12b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 37% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (observed 29% (n=1743), aged 140b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 6% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (aged 12b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 40% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 5b ×0.56) [79% win rate] 33% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (aged 12b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 40% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (observed 24% (n=3020), aged 5b ×0.56) [72% win rate] 49% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Diamond Top (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 5b ×0.56) [69% win rate] 80% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (observed 9% (n=144), near completion, aged 37b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
49.67
ADX
16.47
Trend
SIDEWAYS
Structure
BREAK_UP
VWAP
$117.6900
MACD Hist
-0.2005
Stoch K/D
20.68/18.15
ATR
$0.5894
BB Range
$116.2400 - $119.0400
Support
$116.5700
Resistance
$117.7900
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
1.13x
Vol POC
$117.2100
Fib 0.618
$116.5909

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

Live depth data isn’t available for this coin right now. Possible causes: Bitget rate-limited the depth feed, the coin has no USDT-FUTURES contract mapping, or the order-flow poller is still warming up. Refresh in ~90 seconds.

Candlestick Patterns Detected

1D
Bearish Engulfing (reversal)
Bearish engulfing - sellers overwhelm buyers after uptrend
at resistance
Strength
★★★
wt: 1.5x
1D
Tweezer Top (reversal)
Tweezer top - resistance confirmed by matching highs
at resistance
Strength
★★
wt: 1.5x
Bullish patterns support LONG signals · Bearish patterns support SHORT signals · Context multipliers adjust pattern weight based on S/R, divergence, volume, and trend alignment.