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Consumer Discretionary ETF STOCK

XLY · US Equity
$114.5900
-2.85% (24h)
STRONG SELL Moderate 3/3 TF 2.49x R:R Mean Reversion ranging Suggested: 2x Leverage
Score: 73/100 Strategy: Mean Reversion

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥38.

Mean Reversion Best Fit SELL fit 70
SL $114.9700 · TP1 $114.3900
Breakout SELL fit 69
SL $114.9700 · TP1 $114.3900
Swing SELL fit 65
SL $115.4800 · TP1 $113.6600
Momentum SELL fit 61
SL $114.9700 · TP1 $114.3900
Position SELL fit 61
SL $115.7100 · TP1 $113.0200
Scalping SELL fit 60
SL $114.9700 · TP1 $114.3900
Trend Following SELL fit 47
SL $115.4800 · TP1 $113.6600

Timeframe Analysis

15m STRONG SELL (81) RSI 34.37 ADX 40.86
1H STRONG SELL (73) RSI 28.51 ADX 26.53
4H SELL (65) RSI 35.57 ADX 15.46
1D SELL (61) RSI 42.48 ADX 13.67
1W SELL (60) RSI 47.43 ADX 14.89

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 73. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)
61/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%
+18
→ 18
4H Timeframe (38%)
65/100 raw · BEAR
+25
→ 43
1H Timeframe (32%)
73/100 raw · BEAR
+23
→ 66
15m Micro-Structure
81/100 raw · BEAR (aligned)
+2
→ 68
1W Macro Trend
60/100 raw · BEAR (confirms trend)
+1
→ 69
Divergence Modifier
4H bull div
-2
→ 67
TF Consensus
Strong alignment: 100% direction agreement, scores within 8 pts
+6
→ 73
Final Score
73

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack
15 /1H
11 /4H
11 /1D
12 blend
▶
Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration
17 /1H
17 /4H
12 /1D
16 blend
▶
Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend
7 /1H
7 /4H
7 /1D
7 blend
▶
Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns
20 /1H
20 /4H
20 /1D
20 blend
▶
Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality
5 /1H
3 /4H
3 /1D
4 blend
▶
Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length
9 /1H
7 /4H
8 /1D
8 blend
▶

Trade Levels

Entry
$114.5900
Stop Loss
$115.4800
TP 1
$113.6600
TP 2
$112.3700
TP 3
$111.0300
Risk / Reward
2.49x

Why Take This Trade

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence
Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)
1H: STRONG SELL (73/100) | 4H: SELL (65/100) | 1D: SELL (61/100)
Momentum confirming on 1H
Market structure favorable
1H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
4H: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1D: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope
1D: 2 bearish FVG zone(s) present
1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 15b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 15b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 15b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 26b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 6b ×0.50) [79% win rate] 28% complete
4H: Bearish chart pattern: Descending Channel (with trend, close beyond boundary, aged 6b ×0.50) [55% win rate] 50% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders (with trend, aged 53b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 66% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Triple Top (with trend, aged 16b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 36% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (with trend, aged 16b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 36% complete
1D: Bearish chart pattern: Rounding Top (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 28b ×0.30) [62% win rate] 100% complete
Volume POC at $118.37
Fib 0.618 at $114.88

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (close beyond boundary, near completion, aged 191b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 100% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 209b ×0.30) [79% win rate] 6% complete
1H: Bullish chart pattern: Diamond Bottom (breakout vol spike, near completion, aged 14b ×0.30) [69% win rate] 80% complete
4H: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (against trend, volume declining, near completion, aged 25b ×0.30) [67% win rate] 100% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (aged 38b ×0.30) [83% win rate] 10% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Triple Bottom (aged 9b ×0.35) [79% win rate] 1% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (aged 38b ×0.30) [72% win rate] 12% complete
1D: Bullish chart pattern: Bull Flag (against trend, near completion, aged 1b ×0.89) [67% win rate] 100% complete

Technical Indicators & Sentiment

Social Sentiment (Reddit + F&G + News)
NEUTRAL
Score: 50/100
Confidence: 0%
RSI (14)
28.51
ADX
26.53
Trend
DOWN
Structure
BEARISH
VWAP
$115.9400
MACD Hist
-0.1568
Stoch K/D
9.57/8.57
ATR
$0.4470
BB Range
$113.9800 - $117.9800
Support
$114.3200
Resistance
$115.6100
Volume
NORMAL
Rel Volume
1x
Vol POC
$118.3700
Fib 0.618
$114.8761

Order Flow UNAVAILABLE

Live depth data isn’t available for this coin right now. Possible causes: Bitget rate-limited the depth feed, the coin has no USDT-FUTURES contract mapping, or the order-flow poller is still warming up. Refresh in ~90 seconds.