Filecoin | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Breakout Best Fit BUY fit 60

SL $0.9805 · TP1 $1.0500

Mean Reversion BUY fit 60

SL $0.9805 · TP1 $1.0500

Swing HOLD fit 57

SL $0.8875 · TP1 $1.1900

Scalping HOLD fit 50

SL $0.8875 · TP1 $1.1300

Momentum HOLD fit 48

SL $0.8875 · TP1 $1.1900

Position HOLD fit 43

SL $0.8875 · TP1 $1.2600

Trend Following HOLD fit 39

SL $0.8875 · TP1 $1.1900

Timeframe Analysis

15m BUY (62) RSI 43.86 ADX 16.57

1H BUY (63.3) RSI 59.37 ADX 25.33

4H BUY (56) RSI 68.07 ADX 18.8

1D SELL (58.1) RSI 56.35 ADX 8.35

1W LEAN BULL (35) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 48. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (30%)

58.1/100 raw · BEAR · Ranging regime – 1D=30% / 4H=38% / 1H=32%

+17

→ 17

4H Timeframe (38%)

56/100 raw · BULL

+21

→ 38

1H Timeframe (32%)

63.3/100 raw · BULL

+20

→ 58

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 53

Divergence Modifier

1H bear div

-5

→ 48

Final Score

48

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

12 /1H

11 /4H

5 /1D

9 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

9.3 /1H

12 /4H

8.1 /1D

10 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

8 /1H

7 /4H

16 /1D

11 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

19 /4H

20 /1D

20 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (1% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

+1 Near liquidity cluster above ($1.01) — resistance/sweep zone

+1 Near liquidity cluster below ($1.01) — support/bounce zone

+0.6 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 19/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 1 order block(s) detected — price not within 0.8% of any

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.02 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.95 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 20/20

+10 Market structure: BEARISH (Lower Highs / Lower Lows)

+5 Near resistance (111% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.02 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $0.92 — not in range

+4.2 Candlestick pattern structure bonus

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

5 /1H

3 /4H

5 /1D

4 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

9 /1H

4 /4H

4 /1D

5 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$1.0100

Stop Loss

$0.8875

TP 1

$1.1900

TP 2

$1.3200

TP 3

$1.5000

Risk / Reward

2.53x

Why Take This Trade

2/3 timeframes agree - moderate confluence

Quality gate: score 48 or confluence 2 below minimum – held to HOLD

Strategy: Mean Reversion (best fit for ranging regime)

1H: BUY (63.3/100) | 4H: BUY (56/100) | 1D: SELL (58.1/100)

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 80% — high, watch BTC

Volume POC at $1.00

Fib 0.618 at $0.96

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

Bearish divergence (MACD/Stoch) – potential top forming

4H: 1 bearish order block(s) in scope

4H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1D: Bearish candle patterns: Evening Star (at resistance, high volume, BB squeeze)

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top [72% win rate] 13% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion) [72% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Head & Shoulders [83% win rate] 41% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Bear Flag (against trend, near completion) [67% win rate] 100% complete

1D: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top (breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 45% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 44% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

59.37

ADX

25.33

Trend

UP

Structure

BULLISH

VWAP

$1.0100

MACD Hist

-0.0007533

Stoch K/D

59.87/58.67

ATR

$0.0174

BB Range

$0.9766 - $1.0500

Support

$1.0100

Resistance

$1.0400

Volume

DECLINING

Rel Volume

0.54x

BTC Corr

80%

Vol POC

$1.0000

Fib 0.618

$0.9552

Candlestick Patterns Detected

1H

Spinning Top (indecision)

Spinning top - indecision between buyers and sellers

Strength

★

1D

Evening Star (reversal)

Evening star - powerful 3-bar bearish reversal

at resistance high volume BB squeeze

Strength

★★★

wt: 2.34x

Bullish patterns support LONG signals · Bearish patterns support SHORT signals · Context multipliers adjust pattern weight based on S/R, divergence, volume, and trend alignment.