Toncoin | AlphaConfluence

Strategy Fit Scores

Each strategy re-weights the same indicators for its style (e.g. Momentum values RSI/volume more, Position values trend more). Fit score shows how well this coin matches each strategy — it is separate from the main signal score shown above. Stop/TP style: ATR + S/R + Fib. You can open using any strategy with fit ≥55.

Swing Best Fit HOLD fit 67

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4600

Mean Reversion HOLD fit 65

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4600

Trend Following HOLD fit 64

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4600

Breakout HOLD fit 63

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4600

Momentum HOLD fit 59

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4600

Scalping HOLD fit 55

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4200

Position HOLD fit 48

SL $1.2800 · TP1 $1.4900

Timeframe Analysis

15m SELL (64) RSI 40.39 ADX 4.9

1H BUY (63) RSI 43.31 ADX 12.32

4H STRONG BUY (73) RSI 70.52 ADX 49.44

1D BUY (61) RSI 46 ADX 33.09

1W LEAN BULL (38.099999999999994) RSI 50

Score Breakdown

Every signal, filter, and market condition that contributed to the final score of 58. Green = adds to score, Red = reduces score.

1D Timeframe (50%)

61/100 raw · BULL · Trending regime – 1D=50% / 4H=30% / 1H=20%

+31

→ 31

4H Timeframe (30%)

73/100 raw · BULL

+22

→ 53

1H Timeframe (20%)

63/100 raw · BULL

+13

→ 66

Session Filter

Outside peak hours (12–22 UTC). Current: 0:00 UTC

-5

→ 61

Divergence Modifier

4H bear div

-3

→ 58

Final Score

58

Every Factor by Timeframe

Click any dimension row to expand every sub-factor that contributed to that score. Green = bullish points, Red = bearish points, Grey = neutral.

Trend /20 — EMA alignment, ADX strength, SMA stack

8 /1H

17 /4H

12 /1D

13 blend

▶

Momentum /20 — RSI, MACD, Stochastic, momentum acceleration

12 /1H

14 /4H

3 /1D

9 blend

▶

Volume /20 — Relative volume, VWAP position, volume trend

7 /1H

7 /4H

18 /1D

11 blend

▶

Structure /20 — Market structure, S/R, BB position, OBs, FVGs, liquidity, patterns

20 /1H

20 /4H

16 /1D

18 blend

▶

1H 20/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)

+5 Near resistance (192% of S/R range)

+5 At upper Bollinger Band (overbought zone)

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.30 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

4H 20/20

+10 Market structure: BULLISH (Higher Highs / Higher Lows)

+5 Near support (-238% of S/R range)

+5 At lower Bollinger Band (oversold zone)

— 1 FVG(s) detected — price not in/near any

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.38 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.33 — not in range

+6 Chart pattern structure bonus

1D 16/20

+8 Market structure: BREAK DOWN (structure break bearish)

+2 Mid-range (38% of S/R range)

+2 Inside Bollinger Bands (mid zone)

— Liquidity cluster above at $1.38 — not in range

— Liquidity cluster below at $1.29 — not in range

+4 Chart pattern structure bonus

Volatility /10 — BB Squeeze, ATR volatility state, ADX trend quality

8 /1H

5 /4H

6 /1D

6 blend

▶

Risk Quality /10 — S/R range tightness, ATR, ADX clarity, data length

8 /1H

10 /4H

6 /1D

8 blend

▶

Trade Levels

Entry

$1.3500

Stop Loss

$1.2800

TP 1

$1.4600

TP 2

$1.5300

TP 3

$1.6300

Risk / Reward

2.57x

Why Take This Trade

HOLD: Potential top detected (divergence + overbought RSI + resistance) – avoiding longs

All 3 timeframes agree - strong confluence

Strategy: Trend Following (best fit for trending regime)

1H: BUY (63/100) | 4H: STRONG BUY (73/100) | 1D: BUY (61/100)

Daily trend strong - aligned with higher timeframe

Momentum confirming on 1H

Market structure favorable

1H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

4H: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

1D: Liquidity clusters (above/below) in view

BTC correlation: 70% — moderate

Volume POC at $1.24

Fib 0.618 at $1.34

Why NOT Take This Trade

Signals arguing against this trade direction. Weigh these carefully.

Outside peak session (12–22 UTC) – reduced conviction

1H: 1 bearish FVG zone(s) present

4H: 1 bullish FVG zone(s) present

1H: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (breakout vol spike, close beyond boundary, near completion) [72% win rate] 100% complete

1H: Bearish chart pattern: Double Top [72% win rate] 63% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders (with trend, close beyond boundary, near completion) [83% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bearish chart pattern: Rising Wedge (volume declining, near completion) [65% win rate] 100% complete

4H: Bullish chart pattern: Ascending Channel (with trend) [55% win rate] 50% complete

1D: Bullish chart pattern: Double Bottom (breakout vol spike, high volume) [72% win rate] 27% complete

Technical Indicators

RSI (14)

43.31

ADX

12.32

Trend

SIDEWAYS

Structure

BREAK_DOWN

VWAP

$1.3000

MACD Hist

-0.00254275

Stoch K/D

15.17/23.79

ATR

$0.0128

BB Range

$1.2800 - $1.3200

Support

$1.2900

Resistance

$1.3200

Volume

NORMAL

Rel Volume

0.91x

BTC Corr

70%

Vol POC

$1.2400

Fib 0.618

$1.3418